Schneider’s Drafting Tendencies

Schneider broke in to the NFL in 1992 as an intern with Green Bay, but quickly earned a promotion to pro personnel assistant.  He stayed in that job until he received a job offer from the KC Chiefs to be their director of player personnel, which he did from 1997 – ’99.  After Kansas City, Schneider held the same job in Seattle in 2000, then moved to Washington, D.C. in 2001 to be the Redskins’ vice president of player personnel for a year before returning to Green Bay to serve as personnel analyst to the general manager.  He was promoted in 2008 to director of football operations and stayed in that position before returning to Seattle to become the Seahawks’ general manager.

Looking at Schneider’s employment history, would you have guessed that when he accepted that first job with Green Bay he was just 19 years old?  The guy’s only 38, but he’s already spent half his life doing personnel evaluations at the NFL level.  Eleven of those years he spent working for Ted Thompson in various capacities, and he worked on Mike Holmgren-coached teams for six years.

Jazz pianist Hank Jones once said, “I am the sum total of everything that I have experienced musically,” and after reading through Schneider’s resume I began to think about all his experiences in NFL personnel departments.  There’s only one year of data on him as a general manager, but perhaps some of his drafting tendencies could be identified if we looked at all the drafts he’s been through in his NFL career?  So, I started up Excel, typed up all the relevant data (Schneide’rs position in each year, who the head coach and GM were, information on each draft pick, etc.), then turned it in to a pivot table so that I could easily see where in the draft the GMs Schneider has worked for have typically drafted various positions, which in turn could tell us where in the draft Schneider might target those same positions.

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According to WalterFootball.com, these are Seattle’s main needs this offseason:

1) Cornerback
2) Strong Safety
3) Right Tackle
4) Left Defensive End
5) #1 Wide Receiver
6) Right Guard & Center
7) Quarterback
8) Kicker

After consulting my spreadsheet, here are the rounds in which those positions were drafted the most often:

1) Cornerback & Safety:
        5 drafted in the 1st round
        4 drafted in the 2nd
        5 drafted in the 3rd
        4 drafted in the 6th

2) Offensive Tackle
        6 drafted in the 1st round

3) Defensive End
        3 drafted in the 4th round

4) Wide Receiver
        6 drafted in the 2nd round
        6 drafted in the 6th round

5) Guard & Center
        4 drafted in the 7th round

6) Quarterback
        4 drafted in the 5th round

7) Kicker
        1 drafted in the 6th round

If the above is anything by which to judge, Schneider is most likely to select an offensive tackle in the 1st round, may prefer waiting until the second round to draft a wide receiver, will have no problem pulling the trigger on a defensive back anywhere in the draft, might hold off on picking up a defensive end until the 4th round, will possibly take a flyer on a developmental QB in the 5th round and WR in the 6th, and could pick up some interior linemen in the 7th.

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